| Please Choose the Handicapper and Track you would like to see for Sunday 07/06/2008 | |||
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Fair Meadows |
Mountaineer |
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Mt Pleasant Meadows |
Pleasanton |
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Handicapped by Valuline at Delaware Park
Delaware Park, Race 2 (Sunday July 6, 2008)
BIG EASY
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
DEL-2 5.5f DIRT Five Horses
"A" ALW F/M 3YUP $42,000
P# dd ex p3 t ML WP TVL 3 BIG EASY 3/2 38% 8/5
5 CLAYTON'S LASS 6/1 29% 5/2
1 RUPERT'S PROMISE 7/2 18% 9/2
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Meadows
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 12 - Claiming - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 79
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
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RECOMMENDED CHOICES |
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# 2 SHEZA STRATE 10/1 |
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# 10 SCARECROW MAN 5/1 |
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# 3 CASH ON ME 5/2 |
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SHEZA STRATE is my selection and could score at a price in here. With a quite good 78 Equibase speed fig last time out, will definitely be a factor in this affair. Seems to have a quite good class edge based on the recent company kept. Her 69 average has this filly with among the top Speed Figures for this race. SCARECROW MAN - Has to be given consideration against this group displaying very good numbers as of late and an average Equibase speed fig of 74 under similar conditions. Has strong early pace and ought to fare soundly against this group of horses. CASH ON ME - Has garnered reliable Equibase Speed Figures in short races in the past.
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Hollywood Park
RACE #3 - HOLLYWOOD PARK - 1:30 PM PACIFIC POST
6.0 FURLONGS CUSHIONED TRACK FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $25,000.00 CLAIMING $27,000.00 PURSE
#1 ADARLYN CAT
#2 FLOWER FUSION
#3 BROKER'S RISK
#5 MAMA LULA
#1 ADARLYN CAT shares the pace profile honors in this claiming field sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the "dirt" with #2 FLOWER FUSION and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three straight, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her last two starts. Jockey Joseph Talamo was in her irons for those two wins which produced a +360% return on investment in the process ... Talamo is back today for his 3rd ride, gunning for "The Hat Trick!" FLOWER FUSION has hit the board in four of her last five starts, winning in her 5th race back.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $19200 Class Rating: 86
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 114 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 6 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 6 ALLOWED 6 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000, FOR EACH $5,000 TO $20,000 2 LBS. .
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RECOMMENDED CHOICES |
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# 4 MAMBO ROSE 3/1 |
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# 8 TASTEE BUBBLES 5/1 |
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# 5 RUNWAY LOVE 6/1 |
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MAMBO ROSE is my choice. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Parker will probably have this filly in excellent position to win the contest. Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 83 - of her last contest. Parker has strong numbers that point to this filly to be a solid contender. TASTEE BUBBLES - Has formidable Equibase speed figs and has to be considered for a bet here. Had one of the best speed figs of this group of horses in this race in her last race. RUNWAY LOVE - Solid average Equibase speed figs in turf sprint races make this pony a contender. She should be given a shot given the decent speed figures.
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mt Pleasant Meadows
| Mt Pleasant Meadows - Race 2 |
Perfecta / Trifecta / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
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| Speed Index • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 104 • Purse: $2,200 • Post: 1:23P | |
| QUARTER HORSE 350Y, (PLUS UP TO $1,000 MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD QUARTER HORSE AND PAINTS WHICH HAVE A SPEED INDEX OF 79 AND UNDER IN THEIR LAST TWO STARTS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. (MICHIGAN BRED PREFERRED). |
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Contenders
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Race
Analysis
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P#
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Horse |
Morn
Line |
Accept
Odds |
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Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CHICKY CHICO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ONE GROOVY CONCEPT: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of t he gate fast. FLY BOY 123: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. LEGIBLE SIGN: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). LIVING DREAMS: Horse 's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). |
4 |
CHICKY CHICO | 7/2 |
9/2 | ||
5 |
FLY BOY 123 | 3/1 |
8/1 | ||
1 |
ONE GROOVY CONCEPT | 4/1 |
8/1 | ||
2 |
LEGIBLE SIGN | 9/2 |
8/1 | ||
6 |
LIVING DREAMS | 5/1 |
8/1 | ||
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P#
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Horse
(In Running Style Order)
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Post
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Morn
Line |
Running Style
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Good
Class |
Good
Speed |
Early
Figure
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Finish
Figure
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Platinum
Figure |
1 |
ONE GROOVY CONCEPT | 1 |
4/1 |
Fast | 0 |
0 |
2.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2 |
LEGIBLE SIGN | 2 |
9/2 |
Average | 0 |
0 |
3.8 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
3 |
OZZY YOU CAN DO IT | 3 |
2/1 |
Average | 0 |
0 |
5.5 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4 |
CHICKY CHICO | 4 |
7/2 |
Average | 73 |
0 |
5.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
5 |
FLY BOY 123 | 5 |
3/1 |
Slow | 0 |
0 |
6.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
6 |
LIVING DREAMS | 6 |
5/1 |
Average | 0 |
0 |
4.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Monmouth - Race #1 - Post: 12:50pm
Rating:
Choice Plays:
#5 GINAS WONDER (ML=4/1)
GINAS WONDER - Bottazzi has this gelding spotted in the perfect affair.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 CHANGE YOUR IMAGE (ML=2/1), #6 MR. FOZ (ML=5/2), #7 EXCEL (ML=9/2),
CHANGE YOUR IMAGE - You should normally wager against morning-line choices that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last 3 weeks. This mount ran a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure last time around the track. He shouldn't run much better and will likely suffer defeat in today's event running that figure. MR. FOZ - Just don't figure that he is worth the risk at the expected odds. EXCEL - The youngster will have a hard time beating older this time around.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: | Play #5 GINAS WONDER to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more |
EXACTA WAGERS: | Skip |
TRIFECTA WAGERS: | None |
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Pleasanton
| Pleasanton - Race 8 |
$2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / $2 Daily Double $1 Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) / $2 Parlay
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| Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 93 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 4:15P | |
| FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST THREE STARTS PREFERRED.). |
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Contenders
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Race
Analysis
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P#
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Horse |
Morn
Line |
Accept
Odds |
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Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. PRAIRIE CITY ROAD is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PRAIRIE CITY ROAD: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. A P HENNESSY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rat ing at the distance/surface. |
2 |
PRAIRIE CITY ROAD | 8/5 |
2/1 | ||
8 |
A P HENNESSY | 5/1 |
7/1 | ||
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P#
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Horse
(In Running Style Order)
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Post
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Morn
Line |
Running Style
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Good
Class |
Good
Speed |
Early
Figure
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Finish
Figure
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Platinum
Figure |
2 |
PRAIRIE CITY ROAD | 2 |
8/5 |
Front-runner | 94 |
99 |
119.4 |
93.9 |
91.4 |
8 |
A P HENNESSY | 8 |
5/1 |
Front-runner | 94 |
96 |
95.7 |
50.2 |
42.7 |
7 |
VICTORY KID | 7 |
8/1 |
Stalker | 91 |
90 |
66.4 |
85.3 |
76.3 |
6 |
UNBRIDLED FEVER | 6 |
10/1 |
Alternator/Stalker | 94 |
91 |
91.0 |
86.3 |
82.3 |
1 |
ARTFULLY DONE | 1 |
20/1 |
Trailer | 0 |
0 |
59.7 |
80.6 |
72.6 |
5 |
PONCHO | 5 |
20/1 |
Alternator/Trailer | 0 |
0 |
8.5 |
73.9 |
63.9 |
Unknown Running Style: A CAT NAMED SNIPE (6/1) [Jockey: Arias Saul - Trainer: Hollendorfer Jerry], BRENDANS BLACKCAT (15/1) [Jockey: Contreras Luis - Trainer: Jenda Charles J], GHERIG (6/1) [Jockey: Lopez David G - Trainer: Gilchrist Greg], CATCHMENY
Thistledown - Race #12 - Post: 4:56pm
Rating:
Choice Plays:
#3 BUSINESS FACTOR (ML=5/2)
BUSINESS FACTOR - This horse could be tough in this race, especially since Barrios rode last time out and now should be plenty familiar with this one. This gelding is put right back into a race in less than 10 days; this is a positive sign. The 88 last race speed figure looks good on paper. This gelding is in exceptional physical condition right now. Ended up third last time out and comes back quickly.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1A JUST MIKE (ML=3/1), #1 TAKE AHIKE MIKE (ML=3/1), #7 CURPICO (ML=9/2),
JUST MIKE - A bit of a lackluster effort when this gelding finished third. When checking today's class rating, he will have to record a much better rating than last time out to battle in this dirt sprint. TAKE AHIKE MIKE - 3/1 odds isn't enough for this horse when scrutinizing the most recent efforts. CURPICO - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance contests of late. Improbable to see him doing it this time either. Recent dropping Equibase speed figs of 65/62/52 give an indication that this horse may be going off form. Notched a common speed rating last race out in an Allowance race on Jun 23rd. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that fig.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - BUSINESS FACTOR - This horse is meeting a much easier field than in the last race on June 26th. Worth a prime bet today.STRAIGHT WAGERS: | Have to go with #3 BUSINESS FACTOR on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds |
EXACTA WAGERS: | 3 with 7 |
TRIFECTA WAGERS: | None |
SUPERFECTA WAGERS: | Pass |
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