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To purchase your copy personally autographed by Dr. Johnson.
Thanks to Dr. David E. Johnson, Professor of Economics and Statistics, VALUE BETTING has finally been achieved (after a study of over 300,000 race results). Overlays can now be identified and bet with confidence.The Valuline is a breakthrough discovery in thoroughbred handicapping and betting, because it closes the "Information Gap" between selecting horses and the decision as to whether or not to bet them. That is, it identifies those win contenders which are the profitable bets, and those which are the losing bets.
Purchase your copy of the book via the link to the right for $34.95 (includes shipping & handling) or keep reading down for reviews, more about the author and an excerpt.
This book proves:
- How you will save money by not betting on Angles.
- How you will save money by not betting on Underlays.
- How you can make money at the races betting Overlays .
- How you can discover the Overlays quickly.
Reviews from handicapping and betting experts
"Dave Johnson presents an earnest attempt to sway handicappers away from simply betting selections regardless of odds. Today's game is not one of betting top selections, but rather one of betting selections at fair market value. Dave gets that message across rather effectively while simultaneously shattering a number of preconceived ideas we all carry around with us at the racetrack. The book is a worthwhile read."
- Tom Brohamer, author - Modern Pace Handicapping
"Dave Johnson's value lines not only can fill the void for regular and casual handicappers who want to win, but also they come to you attached with a far greater degree of empirical support than any other value lines of my awareness. Try Dave's betting lines on for size. You'll relish the results." - James Quinn, author - The Handicapper's Condition Book
"Winning at the races is not just about picking winners. It's about getting value for the winners you do pick. In his new book, Dave Johnson tells you the story of his years of frustration that eventually led to the creation of his Valuline computer program."
- Barry Meadow, author - Money Secrets At The Racetrack
"David Provides us with yet more evidence that horse betting is not a question of picking deterministic winners but of evaluating the relative probabilities of horses and betting only on those rare ones that are paying more than their fair return. He makes a convincing argument in his own unique way."
- Mark Cramer, author - Value Handicapping
...and here are some comments from our readers...
"We're all in search of 'the holy grail' when it comes to handicapping and betting thoroughbreds. Dr. David Johnson has discovered it with The Valuline and the amazingly accurate betting lines it creates for the contenders in any given race. His book Value Betting At The Racetrack is an engaging and enlightening look into the many different handicapping angles that don't work by themselves and the one method that does... The Valuline solution."
- John Hernandez, Thoroughbred Connection
"This book fills the gap for the serious better who is looking to find value in racing and be selective about their betting. Quality bets versus quantity bets is how to make money at the track. I have personally used this method in my betting and tournament play and used it to win a major Nevada Handicapping Tournament. Value Betting At The Racetrack is a well written, easy to read guide to improve your betting knowledge and ROI."
- Wayne Atwell, Cal-Neva WCT Winner 1996
About the author
Dr. David Johnson, a resident of Rancho Santa Fe, CA, spent his professional career as an accomplished professor and researcher in economics and statistics. His avocation, however, has always been thoroughbred handicapping and wagering.
Since he was first introduced to the fascinating sport of thoroughbred racing, Dr. Johnson's overriding objective has been to make a profit betting on the races.
He fondly recalls one of his earliest wagering experiences that took place many years ago at Pleasanton, a popular stop on the Northern California county fair circuit:
"Something I spotted in the Daily Racing Form prompted me to bet $2 to win on a long shot named Big Zida. The public favorite in the race was a horse named Pound Cake. Now, Pound Cake appeared to be the easiest of winners during the running of the race, but was beaten at the finish line by Big Zida. And Big Zida paid $96 to win!!!"
As a university professor, Dr. Johnson enjoyed an abbreviated work year that gave him plenty of time time to pursue and refine his thoroughbred handicapping and wagering skills.
Through trial-and-error, Dr. Johnson's experiences led him to the conclusion that there is no shortcut to profitability in simply betting angles or betting angles in conjunction with a casual reading of past performances.
By 1990, he was convinced that he must become a comprehensive handicapper of one track or develop an alternative approach that included comprehensive handicapping and fair-odds analysis.
His conclusion ultimately led to the development of The Valuline, a robot or computer solution that presents the most likely win contenders in every race at tracks throughout North America. Today, The Valuline reports are a popular and top-selling product on prestigious handicapping/wagering web sites such as TVG, Trackmaster, Equibase, and YouBet.
Dr. Johnson's new book, Value Betting at The Racetrack, is his legacy to the horseplayers of the 21st century. Value Betting at The Racetrack validates not only the significance of identifying legitimate win contenders in every race, but most importantly, determining the minimum track odds that you should require before betting them.
If you wager otherwise, as Dr. Johnson proves, you are being "ripped off."
For this reason, says Dr. Johnson, "I am truthfully sharing my experiences with horseplayers as a memoir, even though it may alienate my angle-promoting and angle-selling colleagues."
Excerpt from the book
| CHAPTER NINE
"Value betting has been achieved. It is a fait accompli." WILL I SEE YOU AT THE CASHIER'S WINDOW? In conclusion, there is only one way to make profit at the horse races: Comprehensive handicapping with a good betting line. Don't guess. If your line is too high, you'll miss the profitable overlays. If you make a horse 3/1 which should be 2/1, you won't bet a potentially profitable horse which is 5/2 track odds. If your line is too low, you'll bet the losing underlays. If make a horse 3/1 which should be 4/1, you'll bet a 7/2 horse which is a losing underlay. You can take the Daily Racing Form and do a comprehensive handicapping of your one track, IF you commit yourself to always finish with a good personal betting line. If you are currently not qualified to do comprehensive handicapping, there are excellent books available on "how to handicap" and "how to construct an odds line." (See Chapter Five and the Selected Bibliography). What scares me is, after spending hours selecting the win contenders, will you spend the extra time to compute a satisfactory personal betting line? If you cheat and guess, you will lose. While a guesstimate may be better than nothing, it is far from accurate, and the margin for error in horse race betting is not large. The alternative is The Valuline. It is a Solution.
I had a recent conversation with Gerry Okuneff, the handicapper par excellence I cited in Chapter Five as a textbook example of a one-track comprehensive handicapper. He confided in me: "If I were beginning now, I would go with The Valuline. Why, I said? "Because it is too difficult these days to find good bets at one track. The main problem is that there is too much information out there - too many people know too much. In California, the decline in field size has exacerbated this problem. The computer can analyze so much more information so quickly, that my time could be better spent on the betting strategies and choosing the good bets from among many racetracks. It is like comparing a commercial fishing boat with nets to a fisherman with a pole and bait. Who is going to catch the most fish?" Therefore, I am satisfied that I have chosen the better path to profitable thoroughbred horse race betting in the 21st century. Value betting has been achieved. It is a "fait accompli." I expect to see you at the cashier's window. |